In a fascinating development at the intersection of artificial intelligence and economics, OpenAI has been quietly running a prediction game with a select group of economists using ChatGPT. According to Business Insider, these economists have been tasked with forecasting various outcomes for 2025, including GDP growth, inflation rates, and even the results of the 2024 US presidential election. This initiative represents a novel approach to testing AI’s capabilities in economic forecasting and decision-making, potentially revolutionizing how predictions are made in financial markets and policy planning.
What makes this experiment particularly intriguing is that OpenAI is comparing the economists’ predictions against those generated by ChatGPT itself. The AI model is being evaluated on its ability to make accurate forecasts about complex economic and political events, with the results potentially informing future iterations of the technology. This test comes at a critical time when financial institutions and governments are increasingly looking to integrate AI tools into their forecasting methodologies, raising important questions about the reliability of AI-generated predictions versus those made by human experts with years of specialized training and experience.
Source: https://www.businessinsider.com/chatgpt-economists-secret-prediction-game-openai-2025-12